Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.241651 0.288022 0.340038 0.402586 0.475625 0.558084 0.658098
2025-02-23 0.165873 0.223074 0.294495 0.389701 0.512699 0.665591 0.869314
2025-03-02 0.122183 0.180031 0.258301 0.370897 0.527467 0.736016 1.033056
2025-03-09 0.102013 0.161985 0.248599 0.381071 0.576378 0.851056 1.263150
2025-03-16 0.081197 0.138123 0.225397 0.366499 0.585748 0.909377 1.417710
2025-03-23 0.070469 0.127336 0.219175 0.374960 0.628172 1.017633 1.653554
2025-03-30 0.061455 0.117484 0.212446 0.380813 0.665980 1.121286 1.891209
2025-04-06 0.052409 0.105818 0.200654 0.376073 0.685051 1.196111 2.089234
2025-04-13 0.045078 0.095885 0.190179 0.371703 0.703382 1.270332 2.291812
2025-04-20 0.041056 0.091541 0.189038 0.383553 0.750746 1.396912 2.592779
2025-04-27 0.039951 0.092837 0.198576 0.416183 0.838708 1.601064 3.044779
2025-05-04 0.037110 0.089982 0.199523 0.432199 0.897088 1.757337 3.424581
2025-05-11 0.032465 0.082651 0.190932 0.429338 0.921290 1.857808 3.720472
2025-05-18 0.027510 0.073707 0.177689 0.415312 0.922229 1.915727 3.944675
2025-05-25 0.022920 0.064669 0.162736 0.395350 0.908293 1.943000 4.111974
2025-06-01 0.021055 0.062057 0.161879 0.406141 0.959791 2.103546 4.553188
2025-06-08 0.017869 0.055321 0.150233 0.390683 0.952582 2.144333 4.757862
2025-06-15 0.016439 0.053071 0.149116 0.399659 1.000321 2.302607 5.215321
2025-06-22 0.015027 0.050581 0.146993 0.405868 1.042321 2.452233 5.666863
2025-06-29 0.013284 0.046732 0.140718 0.400840 1.057381 2.544727 6.004160
2025-07-06 0.011777 0.043276 0.134926 0.396204 1.072735 2.638973 6.352700
2025-07-13 0.011065 0.042218 0.135629 0.408773 1.131629 2.836289 6.944770
2025-07-20 0.011132 0.043784 0.144080 0.443376 1.249341 3.178085 7.887247